Match Info

2. SNL - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Jesenice		Dravinja

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2
	2.98	3.4	2.08	Watch
	3.01	3.49	1.97
	3.12	4.05	1.99	Watch
	3	3.3	2
	3.12	3.5	2.02
	2.5	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.59)	3.5 ↑ (3.34)	2.07 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesenice
30.5%

Draw
25.8%

Dravinja
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Dravinja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dravinja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesenice than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dravinja than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dravinja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jesenice - Dravinja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Jesenice is Relegated to

Jesenice is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dravinja is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jesenice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jesenice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	NK Jesenice	9	5	1	3	16:12	4	16
15	Dravinja	9	1	1	7	9:24	-15	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Jesenice
Slovenian 2 SNL
15.05.26	Krka - Jesenice	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Jesenice - Rudar Velenje	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Jesenice	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Jesenice - Triglav	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Jesenice	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLL
- ND Dravinja
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.05.26	Dravinja - Krško	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Gorica - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Dravinja - Krka	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
15.11.25	Dravinja - Jesenice	0:2

Jesenice - Dravinja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide