Match Info

2. SNL - Round 28

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Jesenice		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.45	1.75	Watch
	5.10	3.91	1.62	Watch
	4.06	3.5	1.77
	3.85	3.45	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (4.01)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesenice
21.6%

Draw
25.6%

Rudar Velenje
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.2%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rudar Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesenice than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Jesenice - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Jesenice has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rudar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jesenice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rudar is the team to beat.

We predict that Rudar will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jesenice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	NK Jesenice	9	5	1	3	16:12	4	16
6	Rudar	9	5	0	4	19:16	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Jesenice
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Jesenice	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Jesenice - Triglav	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Jesenice	8:1 ✺
18.04.26	Jesenice - Beltinci	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bilje - Jesenice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.05.26	Rudar Velenje - Krško	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gorica - Rudar Velenje	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Krka - Rudar Velenje	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
31.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Jesenice	1:1

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