Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Jeunesse Canach		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.75
	3.95	3.35	1.78
	3.75	3.4	1.93
	4.15	3.58	1.76	Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.91
	3.78	3.38	1.85
	3.5	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Canach
23.9%

Draw
26.8%

Progrès Niedercorn
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.9%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

25.8%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Canach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Canach than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Users Predictions: Progrès Niedercorn will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Martins R. (G) 22. Costa T. 10. Desevic A. 8. Jimmy 7. Jun C. W. 15. Laborie P. 84. Nelsinho 11. Nico 96. Reihle D. 27. Sako T. 23. Xavi	31. Alves Margato J. (G) 19. Bouche Y. 9. Chambon H. 77. Corral K. 23. Duarte C. 28. Guett A. 71. Hoxha F. 10. Natami O. 29. Oger M. 27. Peugnet V. 14. Sacras C.
Substitutes
21. Aguiar J. 70. Bariki M. 93. Cafafa T. 98. Kuete Nsidjine D. 19. Mendes C. 99. Monteiro D. (G) 55. Rouffignac B.	73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 99. Baradji I. 17. Camara M. 11. Gilgemann M. 26. Hend B. 50. Ndenge K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Canach won 1.

Jeunesse Canach is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the team to beat.

We predict that Progrès Niedercorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Canach won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Canach won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Canach
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Canach	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Pétange	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Victoria Rosport - Jeunesse Canach	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Swift Hesperange	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Canach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
22.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
18.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	1:2
28.04.17	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	2:2
27.11.16	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	0:5
22.02.15	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	1:0
10.08.14	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2
13.04.14	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	3:0
03.10.13	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0

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