Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette) 🌤️ ...


	Jeunesse Esch		Etzella Ettelbruck

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.35	3.45
	1.91	3.48	3.55
	1.91	3.64	3.46	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.45
	1.86	3.52	3.49
	1.91	3.45	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
47.9%

Draw
26.1%

Etzella Ettelbruck
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Etzella Ettelbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Flick T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 12th and 14th in the BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 2.

Jeunesse Esch has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Etzella is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Jeunesse Esch has faced a series of away games on the road.

Jeunesse Esch is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Jeunesse Esch has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:12 (averaging 2.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jeunesse Esch against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 26:5 goals (averaging 3.3:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Jeunesse Esch	11	4	1	6	19:21	-2	13
13	Ettelbruck	11	2	2	7	9:19	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
11.10.26	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch	4:1 ✺
16.09.26	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Rumelange - Jeunesse Esch	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTLWW
- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
11.10.26	Etzella Ettelbruck - F91 Dudelange	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Differdange 03 - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Swift Hesperange - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Etzella Ettelbruck - Résidence Walferdange	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.24	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:0
Luxembourg National Division
16.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	3:0
06.11.22	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0
03.04.22	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	5:1
17.10.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	2:1
23.09.20	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
27.10.19	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1

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