Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.15	2.05
	3.95	3.38	1.88
	3.41	3.36	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.91
	3.64	3.64	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.71)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	1.96 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
25.8%

Draw
27.5%

Progrès Niedercorn
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeunesse Esch's form might have worsened.

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progrès Niedercorn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeunesse Esch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progrès Niedercorn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Englaro S. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 2. Borger M. 45. de Sousa A. 90. Elshan L. 92. Klisurica R. 24. Mancini T. 21. Nurenberg L. 8. Soares D. 4. Todorovic M. (C)	1. Flauss S. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 80. Avdusinovic K. 19. Bouche Y. 17. Camara M. 77. Corral K. 23. Duarte C. 11. Gilgemann M. 71. Hoxha F. 14. Sacras C. (C) 15. Vion T.
Substitutes
31. Isamene H. 40. Janeiro M. (G) 71. Lee N. 11. Rodrigues L. 85. Silvestre R. 33. Weis L.	73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 99. Baradji I. 28. Guett A. 31. Ndenge K. (G) 29. Oger M. 7. Schmid J. 37. Souchard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Vion T. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Elshan L. ⚽,
45', Vion T. ↓, Ahmetxhekaj D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Soares D. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Duarte C. 🟨,
62', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Baradji I. ↑,
62', Duarte C. ↓, Oger M. ↑,
67', de Sousa A. ↓, Rodrigues L. ↑,
72', Camara M. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,
72', Corral K. ↓, Souchard T. ↑,
75', Nurenberg L. ↓, Weis L. ↑,
82', Soares D. ↓, Lee N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Progrès Niedercorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Progrès Niedercorn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Esch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
10.05.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Victoria Rosport - Jeunesse Esch	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWTT
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg Cup
13.05.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport	2:3 penalties ✺
Luxembourg National Division
08.05.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
22.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
06.12.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	0:2
Luxembourg Cup
07.11.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	1:0
12.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:3
Luxembourg National Division
09.02.25	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	3:1
11.08.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	3:0
26.05.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	1:3
06.08.23	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3

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