Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		Mamer

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.25	5.35
	1.45	4.55	6.14
	1.46	4.35	5.87	Watch
	1.42	4.15	6.4
	1.4	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	4.3 ↓ (4.35)	5.88 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
63.4%

Draw
21.2%

Mamer
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Racing Luxembourg - Mamer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ruffier R. (G) 11. Diakhite A. 6. Freire B. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. (C) 12. Lesquoy T. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N. 23. Qevani A. 7. Stolz D.	33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 54. Biagui Y. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 27. Maurice J. 9. Muric D. 99. Rapaille L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H.
Substitutes
99. Azemi E. (G) 14. Azong C. 37. Bisevac A. 77. Dewalque L. 17. Dupays H. 9. Herrmann C. 41. Yans E.	19. Badji D. 35. Boisseron J. 16. Colombo D. (G) 5. Erragui R. 91. Fiorani A. 97. Montout L. 18. Zilli Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Jager M. (Pen),
12', Freire N. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Matubanzila S. ⚽, Stolz D. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Rapaille L. ⚽, Teles I. (A),
37', 🟨,
45+1', Muric D. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Stolz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 3 - 2, Ikene F. ⚽,
58', Rapaille L. 🟨,
60', Muric D. ↓, Montout L. ↑,
64', 4 - 2, Stolz D. ⚽,
69', Biagui Y. 🟨,
70', 5 - 2, Ikene F. ⚽,
71', Rapaille L. ↓, Boisseron J. ↑,
71', Freire N. ↓, Zilli Q. ↑,
77', Monge N. ↓, Dewalque L. ↑,
77', Matubanzila S. ↓, Bisevac A. ↑,
79', Biagui Y. ↓, Erragui R. ↑,
79', Jager M. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
90+1', Ikene F. ↓, Yans E. ↑,
90+1', Stolz D. ↓, Azong C. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Racing Luxembourg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mamer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing Luxembourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Racing Luxembourg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Racing Luxembourg is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
26.11.25	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atert Bissen - Racing Luxembourg	3:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Etzella Ettelbruck - Racing Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Käerjéng 97	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTL
- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Mamer - Atert Bissen	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Käerjéng 97 - Mamer	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	UNA Strassen - Mamer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

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