Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 29

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Marsa		Sfaxien

	1	X	2
	20.72	7.49	1.11	Watch
	4.6	2.63	1.95
				Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.57 ↑ (3.4)	4.31 ↑ (2.8)	1.7 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marsa
11.3%

Draw
25.1%

Sfaxien
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

31.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsa's form might have worsened.

Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sfaxien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sfaxien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marsa - Sfaxien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soltani A. (G) 8. Guesmi A. 7. Hammami K. 17. Jebali O. 6. Mestari S. 14. Msallem H. 29. Neji F. 13. Traidi M. 11. Traidi O. 26. Victorino Polaco 19. Zouari Y.	30. Dahmen A. (G) 13. Derbali R. 19. Karoui N. 10. Maaloul A. 24. Mathlouthi H. 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 12. Mutyaba T. 18. Ogbole E. 32. Ouedraogo H. 33. Trabelsi M.
Substitutes
21. Adejoh O. 10. Aifia F. 31. Aziz Telli M. 2. Chaouch M. 25. Dao Y. 15. Gneba R. 3. Hichri H. 30. Kalu G. 27. Khaloui M.	5. Akid A. 28. Chaaben R. 27. Diarra B. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 31. Jamiaa M. A. (G) 20. Labidi T. 6. Taifour A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Karoui N. ⚽, Mhadhebi M. S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 2, Ogbole E. ⚽, Mhadhebi M. S. (A),
68', 🟨,
76', 0 - 3, Mhadhebi M. S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 1.

Recent performances by Marsa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sfaxien is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sfaxien could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CS Sfaxien	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.05.26	Bizertin - Marsa	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Marsa - Zarzis	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Marsa - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLLW
- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.05.26	Sfaxien - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Espérance ST - Sfaxien	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sfaxien - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Sfaxien - Jendouba Sport	2:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.04.26	Soliman - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.11.25	Sfaxien - Marsa	2:0
Tunisian Cup
19.04.24	Sfaxien - Marsa	0:1 ET
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.11.23	Sfaxien - Marsa	3:0
27.08.23	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:1
Tunisian Cup
10.09.22	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:2
29.01.19	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.03.16	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:1

Marsa - Sfaxien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide