Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty		Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.19
	2.94	3.64	2.33
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.04	3.35	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.57)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)	2.27 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty
31.6%

Draw
27.7%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

19.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty's form might have worsened.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. Neutral location.

Jiangsu Sainty in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tianjin Teda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Tianjin Teda have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Jiangsu Sainty won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Jiangsu Sainty won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty
Chinese FA Cup
01.12.20	Kunshan - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	0:2 ✺
27.11.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangdong Southern Tigers	7:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
02.11.20	Shanghai Port - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWWTW
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese FA Cup
01.12.20	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	5:1 ✺
27.11.20	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guizhou	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
10.11.20	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ET ✺
06.11.20	Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Pro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
07.07.19	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	2:1
03.03.19	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:2
18.08.18	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:1
01.04.18	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
14.07.17	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:1
10.03.17	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0
17.09.16	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0

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