Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	15:30	Migu, QQ Sports


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.95	Watch
	1.81	3.8	4.3
	1.72	3.74	4.24	Watch
	1.86	3.65	4.28
	1.8	3.7	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)	3.65 ↓ (3.74)	4.15 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
51.8%

Draw
25.6%

Changchun Yatai
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 40. Shi Yan 4. Yang Fan 37. Ros J. 30. Wang Qiuming 8. Xadas 14. Huang Jiahui 11. Xie Weijun 10. Salvador C. 31. Sun Ming-Him 9. Quiles A.	28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 15. Xu Haofeng 31. Sunzu S. 17. He Yiran 5. Li Shenyuan 40. Asqer A. 25. Cyprien W. 22. Wang Yu 10. Omoijuanfo O. 27. Salazar J.
Substitutes
24. Chen Zhexuan 22. Fang Jingqi (G) 27. Li S. 19. Liu J. 13. Li Yongjia 2. Lu Jiaqiang 23. Qian Yumiao 5. Ruan Yang 32. Su Yuanjie 6. Wang Xianjun 3. Wang Zhenghao 16. Yang Zihao	1. An Z. (G) 36. Liu Guobao 35. Peng Xinli 21. Piao Taoyu 29. Tan Long 3. Wang Yaopeng 20. Xuan Z. 19. Xu Yue 24. Yan Zhiyu 6. Zhang Huachen 37. Zhao Yingjie 7. Zhou Junchen
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Cyprien W. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Quiles A. (Own goal),
40', Wang Qiuming 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yang Fan ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
58', Wang Yu 🟥,
58', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Yang Zihao ↑,
66', Huang Jiahui 🟨,
68', Asqer A. ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
69', Shi Yan ↓, Liu J. ↑,
70', Xadas 🟨,
72', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
78', Salvador C. 🟨,
82', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
85', Huang Jiahui ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
85', Salvador C. ↓, Li Yongjia ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, He Yiran (Own goal),
90+5', Salazar J. ↓, Tan Long ↑,
90+5', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
90+8', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Xie Weijun ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Changchun Yatai's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is the team to beat.

There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Ademi A. (Injury)

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wu Yake (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 7 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:33. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.3:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
18.10.25	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWT
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
19.10.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Changchun Yatai - Zhejiang Professional	3:3 ✺
12.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	4:3 ET
Chinese Super League
06.07.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	2:2
31.03.24	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1
29.07.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	0:0
30.04.23	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1
12.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:3

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