Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2022, Thursday


	Kunshan		Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.46	3.45	2.41
	2.65	3.42	2.41
				Watch
	2.39	3.68	2.5	Watch
	2.48	3.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (5.7)	3.49 ↓ (4.2)	2.46 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunshan
37.1%

Draw
26%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21.5%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunshan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kunshan's performance.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunshan than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kunshan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+25.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Kunshan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kunshan will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kunshan: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kunshan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunshan FC
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Kunshan - Zibo Cuju	4:1 ✺
07.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Kunshan - Beijing Sport University	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Kunshan - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
12.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:3 ✺
07.11.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Hebei CFFC	5:0 ✺
03.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
24.10.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW

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