Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 29

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Suzhou Dongwu		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.2	6.25
	1.38	4.4	6.8	Watch
	1.42	4.34	6.29
	1.45	4.39	6.82	Watch
	1.35	4.33	7.5
	1.37	4.4	6.96	Watch
	1.38	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.35 ↓ (4.85)	6.77 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
65.6%

Draw
21%

Jiangxi Lushan
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.1%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

17.5%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Li Xinyu (G) 2. Wang Xijie 4. Yeon Jei-Min 27. Duan Dezhi 35. Xiang Rongjun 28. Deng Yubiao 17. Jin Shang 8. Gao D. 16. Xu Chunqing 9. Leonardo 18. Liang Weipeng	19. Chen Junxu (G) 25. Wang Hongbin 24. Du Junpeng 4. Zhu Mingxin 36. Zhang Junzhe 10. Willie 16. Hu Jiaqi 14. Chen Yunhua 11. Brown T. 17. Xu Dongdong 44. Abdukerim Qaharman
Substitutes
42. Ghenifa A. 41. Guo Tong (G) 14. Huang Jiajun 15. Hu H. 1. Liu Yu (G) 39. Ren J. 3. Shang K. 5. Xu Wu 19. Yakubu Nassam I. 26. Ye Daoxin 11. Zhang Jingzhe 10. Zhang Lingfeng.	29. Fortes F. 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 28. Muhta Muzapar 5. Nuer X. 6. Song Ziwenhao 37. Wang J. 7. Wu Linfeng 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang 13. Zhang Yanjun
Coaches
Kim D. E.	Yue S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Wang Xijie 🟨,
12', Xu Dongdong 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Xu Chunqing ⚽, Leonardo (A),
36', 2 - 0, Liang Weipeng ⚽, Leonardo (A),
38', Zhang Junzhe ↓, Zhang Yanjun ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
46', Zhu Mingxin ↓, Muhta Muzapar ↑,
46', Chen Junxu ↓, Ma Kunyue ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Jin Shang ⚽,
58', Wang Xijie ↓, Huang Jiajun ↑,
58', Xu Chunqing ↓, Ghenifa A. ↑,
59', Hu Jiaqi ↓, Wang J. ↑,
77', Liang Weipeng ↓, Yakubu Nassam I. ↑,
77', Jin Shang ↓, Hu H. ↑,
81', Gao D. ↓, Shang K. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Brown T. ⚽, Wang J. (A),
86', 4 - 1, Leonardo ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Jiangxi Lushan is Relegated to Yi League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 4.

Recent matches Suzhou Dongwu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jiangxi Lushan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Suzhou Dongwu is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:12 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Suzhou Dongwu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
20.10.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Yunnan Yukun - Suzhou Dongwu	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
19.10.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	2:5
21.10.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1
08.07.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	2:3
30.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	1:3
03.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1
20.09.21	Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2
04.09.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1

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