Match Info

Yi League - Round 19

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.9	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.84	3.46	3.76
				Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.73 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
48.4%

Draw
27.4%

Lanzhou Longyuan
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Jiangxi Lushan - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Li Chen (G) 4. Zhu Mingxin 13. Zhang Yanjun (C) 5. Shi Jiwei 6. Xu Yougang 22. Li Jiahao 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 14. Chen Yunhua 10. Abdusalam S. 7. Sun Yue 25. Li Chenguang	13. Mu Qianyu (G) 11. Tai Jianfeng 47. Yang Shengming 20. Xie Hongyu 46. Chen Yu 18. Lin Taijun 19. Chen Zitong 39. Chen Kerui (C) 5. Abdukerim O. 15. Mijit M. 33. Muhtar Ular
Substitutes
31. Bai Zijian 20. Liu G. 49. Luo B. 60. Qurban W. 18. Song Yi 16. Sun Yunlong 29. Tang Zhiheng 33. Wang Haisheng 26. Wang J. 15. Xu Lei 56. Yin Jun (G) 47. Zhou Jingxiang	16. Chen Yanxin 38. Guo Ze 6. Liu Yang 25. Liu Zongyang 26. Mei Jingxuan 21. Memetabla S. 8. Zhang Chongguang 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 43. Zhou Yan 3. Zhou Ziang
Coaches
Yue S.	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Sun Yue ⚽, Zhang Yanjun (A),
42', Tai Jianfeng 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Li Jiahao ↓, Wang Haisheng ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Sun Yue ⚽, Wang Haisheng (A),
76', Li Chenguang ↓, Song Yi ↑,
76', Chen Yunhua ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
78', Muhtar Ular ↓, Zhou Ziang ↑,
78', Chen Kerui ↓, Liu Yang ↑,
84', Mijit M. ↓, Zhang Chongguang ↑,
85', Shi Jiwei ↓, Luo B. ↑,
86', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Bai Zijian ↑,
87', Chen Zitong ↓, Chen Yanxin ↑,
87', Zhou Ziang 🟨,
90+3', Abdusalam S. ↓, Xu Lei ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Jiangxi Lushan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lanzhou Longyuan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jiangxi Lushan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
06.07.25	Taian Tiankuang - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Wuxi Wugou	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Beijing Institute of Technology - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Shanghai Port B - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTW
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
06.07.25	Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:3 ✺
15.06.25	Shandong Taishan B - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
07.05.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2

Jiangxi Lushan - Lanzhou Longyuan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide