Match Info

League Two - Round 21

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jiangxi Lushan		Xiamen Feilu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.90	2.80
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.77	3.05	2.69
	2.45	3	2.89	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.55
	2.65	3.43	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.8)	3.01 ↓ (3.5)	2.68 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
35.5%

Draw
30.4%

Xiamen Feilu
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.

Xiamen Feilu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xiamen Feilu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiamen Feilu than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xiamen Feilu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Li Chen (G) 27. Zhang Yanjun (C) 18. Yang Pengju 5. Shi Jiwei 16. Chen Yunhua 22. Li Jiahao 33. Guo Song 21. Zhu X. 30. Huang J. 26. Pi Ziyang 35. Ren Y.	28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 3. Zhong Minghzi 16. Li Bowen 8. Chen Zeng 13. Liao Lei 10. Lu Chenghe (C) 59. Piao Taoyu 11. Shi Letian 18. Tursun Qeyser 17. Zimin Nuali 7. Liu Ziming
Substitutes
11. Bai Zijian 8. Cao Enze 2. He Quan 1. Liang J. (G) 28. Li Tianle (G) 24. Li Yan 37. Wang Haisheng 3. Wang Hongbin 4. Zhang G. 14. Zhou Jingxiang	23. Cui Wei 20. Gao J. 39. Gu Jiayi 30. Liang Peiwen 1. Li Yuefeng (G) 21. Weng Haoxuan 22. Wu Wei 4. Xu Anbang 9. Xu Wu 29. Zhao Boyang
Coaches
Choi Jin-han	Lu Hongchen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Liu Ziming 🟨,
41', Ren Y. 🟨,
45+2', Lu Chenghe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ren Y. ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
57', Piao Taoyu ↓, Cui Wei ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Lu Chenghe ⚽, Liu Ziming (A),
68', Pi Ziyang ↓, Bai Zijian ↑,
70', Zhang Yanjun 🟨,
72', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Wu Wei ↑,
72', Zhong Minghzi ↓, Zhao Boyang ↑,
75', Zhao Boyang 🟨,
75', Guo Song ↓, Zhou Jingxiang ↑,
85', Shi Letian ↓, Gu Jiayi ↑,
85', Zimin Nuali ↓, Gao J. ↑,
88', Zhang Yanjun ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
88', Li Jiahao ↓, Li Yan ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Liu Ziming ⚽, Liao Lei (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Jiangxi Lushan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xiamen Feilu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jiangxi Lushan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jiangxi Lushan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jiangxi Lushan	25	11	5	9	27:22	5	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
08.08.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Wenzhou Professional - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Shenzhen 2028	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLT
- Xiamen Feilu
Chinese Yi League
08.08.26	Xiamen Feilu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Xiamen Feilu	5:1 ✺
29.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Xiamen Feilu	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Xiamen Feilu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Xiamen Feilu - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
27.05.26	Xiamen Feilu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0

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