Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Wenzhou Sports Centre (Wenzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wenzhou Professional		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	2.70	2.50
	2.75	2.75	2.55	Watch
	3.01	2.65	2.66
	2.94	2.8	2.56	Watch
	2.95	2.55	2.60
	2.91	2.61	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.52)	2.68 ↓ (3)	2.58 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wenzhou Professional
31.2%

Draw
33.7%

Jiangxi Lushan
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

31%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wenzhou Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiangxi Lushan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wenzhou Professional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wenzhou Professional - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 27. Ou Xueqian 55. Gao Le 6. Zhao Wenzhe 18. Lu Jiabin 11. Lu Shihao 22. Abdugheni I. 10. Ruan Sai (C) 36. Hua Mingcan 53. Sun Weikai 9. Li Jiaheng	12. Li Chen (G) 24. Li Yan 18. Yang Pengju 5. Shi Jiwei 22. Li Jiahao 30. Huang J. 26. Pi Ziyang 11. Bai Zijian 16. Chen Yunhua 14. Zhou Jingxiang 7. Sun Yue (C)
Substitutes
14. Fu Hao 57. He J. 52. He Xiang (G) 58. Liu Y. 7. Lu Y. 39. Ouyang Chengzhuo 25. Wang X. 21. Wang Y. 17. Wei Zhenghong 20. Zhang F. 50. Zhuang Q. 28. Zhu Chunyou	8. Cao Enze 19. Jiang H. 1. Liang J. (G) 35. Ren Y. 37. Wang Haisheng 3. Wang Hongbin 4. Zhang G. 27. Zhang Yanjun 21. Zhu X.
Coaches
Zhao Peng	Choi Jin-han

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Li Jiahao ⚽,
18', Lu Jiabin 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Li Jiaheng ⚽, Hua Mingcan (A),
33', Gao Le 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhou Jingxiang ↓, Ren Y. ↑,
46', Li Yan ↓, Zhang Yanjun ↑,
46', Ruan Sai ↓, Lu Y. ↑,
46', Ou Xueqian ↓, Zhu Chunyou ↑,
60', Sun Weikai ↓, Ouyang Chengzhuo ↑,
60', Lu Shihao ↓, Wei Zhenghong ↑,
66', Pi Ziyang ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
66', Bai Zijian ↓, Zhu X. ↑,
84', Hua Mingcan ↓, He J. ↑,
84', Li Jiahao ↓, Wang Haisheng ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).

Wenzhou has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jiangxi Lushan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wenzhou won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Wenzhou won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jiangxi Lushan	25	11	5	9	27:22	5	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
25.07.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Wuhan Three Towns B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTLW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
25.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Shenzhen 2028	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
08.07.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
09.05.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Wenzhou Professional	3:1

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