The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hubei Istar 31.3%
Draw 30.7%
Jiangxi Lushan 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
30.1%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
30.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.
Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiangxi Lushan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meng Derui (G) 3. Tang Xin 41. Yu Jingcheng 27. Zhang Yixuan 4. Sun Tianyu 55. Liu Mingyu 12. Lin F. 15. Nur Sherzat 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 10. Wen Jialong 21. Li B.
12. Li Chen (G) 33. Guo Song 18. Yang Pengju 5. Shi Jiwei 22. Li Jiahao 30. Huang J. 16. Chen Yunhua 27. Zhang Yanjun (C) 11. Bai Zijian 21. Zhu X. 8. Cao Enze
Substitutes
7. Guo Yi 33. Hongxiang S. 59. Huang Bo 57. Li X. 30. Li Yubing 13. Pan Jinglue 19. Qu D. 9. Shan Huanhuan 23. Sun W. 16. Wei Deliang (G) 22. Xiang Yufei (G) 14. Zhang Chengji
19. Jiang H. 1. Liang J. (G) 24. Li Yan 26. Pi Ziyang 35. Ren Y. 7. Sun Yue 3. Wang Hongbin 4. Zhang G. 14. Zhou Jingxiang
Coaches
Wan Houliang
Choi Jin-han
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Liu Mingyu ↓, Pan Jinglue ↑,
61', Lin F. ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
67', Cao Enze ↓, Sun Yue ↑,
67', Bai Zijian ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
73', Nur Sherzat ↓, Li Yubing ↑,
73', Li Jiahao ↓, Ren Y. ↑,
84', Shi Jiwei ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
85', Li B. ↓, Shan Huanhuan ↑,
85', Wen Jialong ↓, Sun W. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Pi Ziyang ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ))
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Hubei Istar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hubei Istar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Usa
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Meng Derui (G) 
Choi Jin-han 
