Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Cancha de la Asociación Civica (Jicaral)


	Jicaral		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.37	4.8	6.2
	1.38	5.11	6.8	Watch
	1.33	5.25	6.4
	1.37	4.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.91 ↓ (4.92)	6.42 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jicaral
67.2%

Draw
18.6%

Carmelita
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.6%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

17.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jicaral - Carmelita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 0, Baltodano J. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Hidalgo P. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Jicaral is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:8 (average 2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Jicaral won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADR Jicaral
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
10.03.25	San Carlos - Jicaral	2:5 ✺
05.03.25	Jicaral - Cofutpa	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Jicaral - Inter San Carlos	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Sarchi - Jicaral	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Jicaral - Quepos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLT
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
10.03.25	Carmelita - Quepos	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	4:2 ✺
03.03.25	Deportivo Upala - Carmelita	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
31.01.25	Carmelita - Jicaral	0:0
27.09.24	Carmelita - Jicaral	1:2
18.08.24	Jicaral - Carmelita	2:2
25.02.24	Jicaral - Carmelita	2:0
12.01.24	Carmelita - Jicaral	0:7
09.09.23	Carmelita - Jicaral	0:3
30.07.23	Jicaral - Carmelita	1:1

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