Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Shandong Provincial Sports Centre Stadium (Jinan)


	Jinan Xingzhou		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.85	2.25
	3.03	2.82	2.68
	2.9	2.9	2.38
	2.91	3.08	2.46	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)	2.94 ↓ (2.98)	2.42 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jinan Xingzhou
30.8%

Draw
31.3%

Shenzhen Peng City
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

30.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

30.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jinan Xingzhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 17. Xu Jizu 14. Sunzu S. 23. Bai Jiajun 12. Li Suda 37. Yi Xianlong 33. Ye Chongqiu 10. Wang Zihao 19. Ma Chongchong 27. Fernando Karanga 9. Lu Yongtao	20. Zhao Shi (G) 31. Ependi N. 15. Yu Rui 16. Li Zhi 37. Liu Yujie 28. Zhang Yudong 5. Song Yue 26. Egbuchulam C. 10. Ortiz M. J. 7. Xiao Kun 33. Zhu Baojie
Substitutes
4. Liu Boyang 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 24. Qi Tianyu 20. Shohret R. 18. Tambe R. 31. Tan Tiancheng 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 26. Yu Jianfeng 41. Zeng Yaozhang 21. Zhang Yi 28. Zhong Weihong	25. Abdukerim O. 6. Chen Yi 39. Li Bowen 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 40. Ma Canjie 18. Muhta Muzapar 21. Nan Song 32. Song Chen 4. Wang Qiao 23. Xia Dalong 29. Zhao Z. 8. Zhou Dadi
Coaches
Wei Xin	Tato J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Jinan Xingzhou is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Jinan Xingzhou have a series of home games.

Sichuan Jiuniu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jinan Xingzhou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
20.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dongguan Guanlian	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWTL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
20.08.23	Dandong Tengyue - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.05.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:1

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