Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Chengdu Longquanyi Football Stadium (Chengdu)


	Shenzhen Peng City		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	7
	1.42	4	6.5
	1.42	4.25	7.98
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.4	4.3	7.8
	1.39	4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)	4.08 ↑ (3.76)	7.45 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
65.3%

Draw
22.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Zhao Shi (G) 31. Ependi N. 15. Yu Rui 5. Song Yue 16. Li Zhi 21. Nan Song 28. Zhang Yudong (C) 33. Zhu Baojie 27. Abduweli Behram 11. Garcia E. 10. Ortiz M. J.	32. Huo S. (G) 33. Feng Y. 2. Wang W. 5. Wang S. 4. Chen Q. 18. Liao Jintao 34. Hou Yu (C) 12. Chen R. 28. Ling J. 42. Yang H. 7. Qeyyum P.
Substitutes
25. Abdukerim O. 35. Chen Fangzhou 6. Chen Yi 26. Egbuchulam C. 37. Liu Yujie 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 18. Muhta Muzapar 32. Song Chen 17. Wang Qi 4. Wang Qiao 23. Xia Dalong 29. Zhao Z.	11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Asqer A. 8. Chen Guokang 30. Iskandar B. 31. Wang S. 26. Wu J. 40. Wu Y. 15. Xu Bin 36. Yang Dejiang 29. Zhang D. 19. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 3. Zhao W.
Coaches
Tato J.	Suay S.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 12).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sichuan Jiuniu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sichuan Jiuniu is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
30.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
02.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
29.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:1 ✺
22.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
15.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Guangzhou Evergrande	4:2 ✺
08.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
29.04.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:4

Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide