Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Shandong Provincial Sports Centre Stadium (Jinan)


	Jinan Xingzhou		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.4	2.75	3.1
	2.6	2.86	3.1
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.47	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.44	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jinan Xingzhou
37.8%

Draw
30.9%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jinan Xingzhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Jinan Xingzhou - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jinan Xingzhou will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shijiazhuang Gongfu: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 12. Li Suda 23. Bai Jiajun 33. Ye Chongqiu 14. Sunzu S. 19. Ma Chongchong 31. Tan Tiancheng 9. Lu Yongtao 10. Wang Zihao 18. Tambe R. 17. Xu Jizu	17. Sui Weijie (G) 34. Song Bowei 22. Venicio 4. Pan Kui 11. Zhu Haiwei 8. Jia Xiaochen 10. An Yifei 3. Song Haoyu 15. Zhang Hao 9. Nan Xiaoheng 20. Ogbu M.
Substitutes
4. Liu Boyang 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 24. Qi Tianyu 20. Shohret R. 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 37. Yi Xianlong 26. Yu Jianfeng 41. Zeng Yaozhang 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 28. Zhong Weihong	33. Ayovi J. 32. Ding Haifeng 29. Fu Shang 6. Ge Hailun 39. Halimurat Kamiran 45. Huang Wei 1. Li Yihao (G) 26. Mei Jingxuan 12. Sun Le (G) 37. Yang Pengju 25. You Wenjie 35. Zhan Sainan
Coaches
Wei Xin	Zhou Li

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Jinan Xingzhou is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Jinan Xingzhou have a series of home games.

Recently Shijiazhuang Gongfu have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jinan Xingzhou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
29.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dongguan Guanlian	3:4 ✺
15.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Jinan Xingzhou	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dandong Tengyue	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Nanjing City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
30.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
22.07.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dandong Tengyue	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
29.04.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Jinan Xingzhou	1:2

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