Match Info

Date: 15 October 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Joinville		Atlético Tubarão

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	6
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.54	3.5	5.8
	1.52	3.84	6.32
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.55	3.64	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.76)	3.55 ↑ (3.32)	6.01 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joinville
59.3%

Draw
25.6%

Atlético Tubarão
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

18.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.

Atlético Tubarão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Tubarão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Joinville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Tubarão is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Tubarão could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Joinville is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Joinville won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Joinville won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
10.10.20	Joinville - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville	1:0 ✺
01.10.20	Joinville - São Luiz	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Joinville - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWTT
- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Serie D
11.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
30.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Tubarão	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Caxias - Atlético Tubarão	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Atlético Tubarão - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
23.01.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	1:0
07.04.19	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	0:1
20.02.19	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	3:2
01.04.18	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	3:0
18.02.18	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	1:1
02.04.17	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	4:3
18.02.17	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	2:0

Joinville - Atlético Tubarão

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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