Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)


	Jong Almere City		HSV Hoek

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.68
	2.21	3.75	2.79	Watch
	2.24	3.64	2.55
	2.16	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Almere City
41.5%

Draw
24.6%

HSV Hoek
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

HSV Hoek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Jong Almere City - HSV Hoek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Mateyo M. (G) 34. Teunissen S. 33. van Gom J. 35. Kuiper J. 45. Pennock B. 36. Lever S. (C) 21. el Dahri H. 53. Zijsling J. 19. de Nijs O. 37. Goghli I. 40. Dors M.	1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 21. Martens G. (C) 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 10. Aelterman N. 14. Van Hauter R. 13. Hebbelinck K. 17. Sula D. 16. Steenpoorte M.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 49. Bais A. 48. Mojanaga T. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 50. Saygi M. A. 55. Woudstra X.	11. Delannoy G. 8. Lijbers T. 19. Ngongo J. 3. Pengel J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 6. Vandecandelaere G. 15. van Gogh R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Van Hauter R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Zijsling J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Martens G. ⚽,
61', Zijsling J. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
61', el Dahri H. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
67', Steenpoorte M. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,
75', Aelterman N. ↓, Delannoy G. ↑,
77', Pennock B. ↓, Saygi M. A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Nsingi J. ⚽, de Nijs O. (A),
85', Bouihrouchane H. 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, Sula D. ⚽, Lijbers T. (A),
90+1', Sula D. ↓, Pengel J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1).

Recent performances by Jong Almere City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hoek is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Hoek has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jong Almere City - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Almere City
Dutch Tweede Divisie
15.11.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Jong Almere City	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Jong Almere City - Spakenburg	4:2 ✺
25.10.25	Koninklijke HFC - Jong Almere City	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Jong Almere City - Katwijk	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	De Treffers - Jong Almere City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWT
- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
15.11.25	HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Kozakken Boys - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	HSV Hoek - ACV	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	HSV Hoek - FC Eindhoven	3:2 ET ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	HSV Hoek - IJsselmeervogels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWW

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