The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 28.2%
Draw 22.1%
Rijnsburgse Boys 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
23.4%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
22.6%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Sparta Rotterdam's form might have worsened.
Rijnsburgse Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijnsburgse Boys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijnsburgse Boys than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijnsburgse Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Rijnsburgse Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Henry A. 4. van Zijl O. 6. Oetoehganal L. (C) 3. Bogerd J. 10. Oukhattou M. 5. Esser J. 8. Guit V. 7. Hoeve Q. 9. Seedorf J. 11. el Meftahi Y.
1. Zonneveld W. (G) 2. van Haaften T. 4. Walraven D. 34. Tufi Y. 5. Zandbergen R. (C) 30. van Rooijen S. 8. Klaver N. 10. Spruijt J. 77. Simoes J. 9. van der Weijden M. 7. Kariouh I.
Substitutes
16. Bynoe J. 14. Fransen S. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 15. Mulumba G. 18. Sandvliet N.
25. Agyeman T. 15. Buurmeester J. 17. de Haas J. 33. Fiemawhle E. 22. Tillema J. 99. Zwarteveld M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Simoes J. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Guit V. ⚽, el Meftahi Y. (A),
32', 1 - 1, van der Weijden M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
76', 1 - 2, Spruijt J. ⚽, Kariouh I. (A),
77', Tufi Y. ↓, de Haas J. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Spruijt J. ⚽,
81', Oetoehganal L. ↓, Mulumba G. ↑,
81', Esser J. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
81', Bogerd J. ↓, Sandvliet N. ↑,
82', Spruijt J. ↓, Tillema J. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Hanzen D. ⚽,
85', Kariouh I. ↓, Agyeman T. ↑,
85', Simoes J. ↓, Fiemawhle E. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, van der Weijden M. ⚽, Fiemawhle E. (A),
90+3', Henry A. 🟨,
90+3', van der Weijden M. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 2.
In recent matches, Jong Sparta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rijnsburgse Boys has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2.3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.