The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BVV Barendrecht 40.2%
Draw 22.1%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
24.8%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
26.1%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BVV Barendrecht's performance.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BVV Barendrecht that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BVV Barendrecht - Jong Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 7. Monster D. (C) 3. de Graaf T. 15. Rook K. 21. Mrowicki O. 6. Bayram T. 23. Hooreman F. 10. Fortes E. 9. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.
1. Kuiper P. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Giersthove D. 4. Borrie T. (C) 5. Gompel M. 10. Oukhattou M. 6. Sandvliet N. 8. Guit V. 7. Inocencio J. 9. Hanzen D. 11. Sallent K.
Substitutes
26. Bakour M. 16. El Mahdioui M. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Keehnen N. (G) 17. Kieboom J. 4. Knol V. 8. Stewart O.
13. Bogerd J. 19. Ebite S. 12. Esievo E. 15. Nieuwenhuijs L. 14. Oetoehganal L. 16. Silva Neves M. 20. Suur R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Guit V. ⚽, Hanzen D. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Hooreman F. ⚽, Mrowicki O. (A),
29', Oukhattou M. 🟨,
37', Monster D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Esser J. ↓, Esievo E. ↑,
46', Sallent K. ↓, Silva Neves M. ↑,
49', Silva Neves M. 🟨,
54', Monster D. ↓, Knol V. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Hooreman F. ⚽, Brand J. (A),
60', Vugts B. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Giersthove D. ⚽, Guit V. (A),
80', Bayram T. ↓, Stewart O. ↑,
80', Hooreman F. ↓, Kieboom J. ↑,
80', Rook K. ↓, Jouhri N. ↑,
80', Inocencio J. ↓, Nieuwenhuijs L. ↑,
80', Hanzen D. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
86', Sandvliet N. ↓, Oetoehganal L. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Bakour M. ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 2.
Barendrecht has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Jong Sparta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Jong Sparta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Barendrecht has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Barendrecht has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:28 (averaging 1.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barendrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:20 goals (averaging 1.9:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Barendrecht
8
4
2
2
15:12
3
14
8
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
8
3
3
2
23:15
8
12
Last Results with these Odds
BVV Barendrecht - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.