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Current Win Probability
Jorge Wilstermann 12.8%
Draw 18.8%
Bolívar 68.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12%
18.9%
69.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.5%
18.1%
72%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Salinas L. (G) 25. Robson 5. Castillo G. 48. Rodriguez I. 17. Rodriguez L. 15. Machado C. 6. Villarroel N. 27. Corrales R. 35. Guillermo A. 7. Caceres A. 39. Barron A.
1. Lampe C. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 7. Mena F. 2. Sagredo J. 4. Sagredo J. 8. Paz L. 23. Justiniano L. 14. Robson Matheus 80. Melgar C. A. 10. Catano D. 77. Romero D.
Substitutes
29. Adrian J. 26. Aliaga A. 10. Chavez C. 31. Delgadillo M. 24. Montano J. 4. Rodriguez F. 14. Tumiri E. 23. Velasco A. 45. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
99. Batallini D. 9. Cauteruccio M. 27. Gariglio I. 28. Mendez B. 25. Mendez D. (G) 35. Rivero E. 26. Saavedra E. 18. Sabja L. 3. Torren M. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 21. Velasquez J. 29. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.
Robatto F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', Robatto F. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Machado C. ⚽, Pardo E. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
44', Pardo E. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Catano D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pardo E. ↓, Corrales R. ↑,
46', Velasco A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
62', Guillermo A. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
65', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
67', Robson Matheus ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
67', Paz L. ↓, Cauteruccio M. ↑,
67', Mena F. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Caceres A. ⚽, Aliaga A. (A),
77', Caceres A. 🟨,
79', Justiniano L. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
80', Batallini D. 🟨,
84', Rivero E. 🟨,
86', Rocha Y. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
90', Machado C. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
Wilstermann is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bolívar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).
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Salinas L. (G) 
Robson 
Castillo G. 
Caceres A. 
Catano D. 
Romero D. 
Chavez C. 
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