Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 9

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Jorge Wilstermann		Real Tomayapo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	1.87	3.4	3.95	Watch
	1.82	3.52	4.37
	1.86	3.48	4.14	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	1.83	3.3	4.56	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.75)	4 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jorge Wilstermann
48.7%

Draw
28%

Real Tomayapo
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

24.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

22.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	8.7%	0%

Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tomayapo (2.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jorge Wilstermann will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jorge Wilstermann will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tomayapo (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zotes S. (G) 3. Chumacero A. 6. Villarroel N. 20. Guillermo A. 5. Castillo G. 25. Robson 17. Rodriguez L. 15. Machado C. 11. Tellez M. 7. Caceres A. 10. Bobadilla H.	1. Arauz G. (G) 38. Cuiza S. 3. Carrasco J. 5. Corulo L. 17. Bejarano M. 77. Minda T. 22. Ramallo D. 33. Mamani K. 6. Lima R. 7. Aviles M. 19. Pinto D.
Substitutes
34. Ancieta C. 30. Andersen L. 18. Barron A. 27. Corrales R. 35. Guillermo A. 8. Mamani J. 24. Montano J. 12. Olivera M. (G) 14. Pardo E. 9. Pena A. 28. Soto R. 23. Velasco A.	20. Aguilar F. 25. Arancibia A. (G) 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 35. Castillo J. 23. Crescencio L. 30. Montano Hilton J. 9. Perez D. 27. Siles O. 12. Tomianovic M.
Coaches
Chavez C.	Viviani Ribera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
27', Guillermo A. ↓, Mamani J. ↑,
34', Lima R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Minda T. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
46', Mamani K. ↓, Barbery Gil M. G. ↑,
61', Lima R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
67', Machado C. 🟨,
67', Aviles M. 🟨,
71', Villarroel N. 🟨,
82', Pinto D. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
82', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
83', Caceres A. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
90', Castillo J. 🟨,
90+4', Tomianovic M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wilstermann might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	3:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Blooming - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Always Ready	2:7 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLLLW
- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Copa Pacena
21.05.25	Real Tomayapo - Always Ready	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.05.25	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	Always Ready - Real Tomayapo	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.04.25	The Strongest - Real Tomayapo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
23.02.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	2:2
15.02.25	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1
04.08.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	2:1
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0 penalties
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.11.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	3:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
24.10.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	0:1

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