Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Real Tomayapo		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.40	2.85
	2.45	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.51
	2.4	3.65	2.64	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.57	3.43	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.04)	3.47 ↓ (3.54)	2.56 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
38.2%

Draw
26.2%

Independiente Petroleros
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Petroleros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Adorno C. (G) 15. Guerra J. 43. Aguilera C. 24. Robles D. (C) 32. Suarez R. 14. Galvez V. 12. Ribera J. 8. Mamani J. 50. Alvarez Y. 5. Montenegro L. S. 9. Orozco Quiroga J. N.	1. Gutierrez J. (G) 77. Zamora R. 13. Montenegro L. 28. Soleto W. 50. Roni Santos 34. Mendoza G. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 6. Rojas D. 7. Cardozo R. 20. Mercado A. 99. Jeferson Carioca
Substitutes
7. Arabe C. 13. Barbery Gil M. G. 55. Barbieri G. 35. Castillo J. 36. Chavez J. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 40. Espindola Y. 33. Mamani K. 20. Padilla C. 21. Ramallo D. 27. Ruan Costa	15. Bejarano J. 82. Claros D. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 8. Guttierrez J. 68. Morales D. 5. Palma L. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 4. Rodriguez L. 14. Urdininea C. 12. Vera J. (G) 59. Villavicencio J.
Coaches
Alfonso J.	Grass J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Aguilera C. ⚽, Ribera J. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Montenegro L. S. ⚽, Alvarez Y. (A),
42', Mendoza G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Montenegro L. ↓, Urdininea C. ↑,
58', Montenegro L. S. ↓, Padilla C. ↑,
58', Mamani J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
62', Cristaldo G. 🟨,
64', Orozco Quiroga J. N. ↓, Ruan Costa ↑,
64', Ribera J. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
68', Cristaldo G. ↓, Gean ↑,
77', Galvez V. ↓, Espindola Y. ↑,
79', Mendoza G. ↓, Rocabado Concha R. E. ↑,
79', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Ruan Costa ⚽, Padilla C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 2.

In recent matches, Tomayapo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ind Petroleros is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tomayapo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomayapo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.26	Real Potosí - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Real Tomayapo - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Guabirá - Real Tomayapo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WTWLL
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	5:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.07.26	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	2:1
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
08.02.26	Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo	5:2
04.02.26	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	2:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.10.25	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:6
30.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo	2:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo	2:1
16.05.25	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:3

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