Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 2

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)


	Nacional Potosí		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.75
				Watch
	1.27	5.73	8.65
	1.3	5.51	8.83	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7
	1.28	5.77	8.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	5.16 ↑ (4.05)	7.56 ↑ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
69.6%

Draw
18.1%

Jorge Wilstermann
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Nacional Potosí (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 17. Guerra S. 3. Acuna M. 21. Baldomar O. 4. Roca C. 2. Quiroz K. 11. Rojas J. 26. Echeverria S. 14. Guerra J. 28. Palacio D. 29. Alvarez W.	33. Zotes S. (G) 14. Tumiri E. 6. Villarroel N. 27. Corrales R. 34. Ancieta C. 35. Guillermo A. 31. Delgadillo M. 15. Machado C. 11. Tellez M. 7. Caceres A. 10. Bobadilla H.
Substitutes
19. Abrego V. 27. Garcia A. 22. Hoyos D. 30. Johan Bocanegra 31. Muruchi J. M. 1. Mustafa S. (G) 8. Pavia L. 20. Prost M. 7. Torres S.	26. Aliaga A. 30. Andersen L. 20. Guillermo A. 24. Montano J. 12. Olivera M. (G) 2. Rodriguez L. 23. Velasco A. 37. Zenteno J. E.
Coaches
Vigevani C.	Chavez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Alvarez W. ⚽, Guerra J. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Alvarez W. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
39', Tellez M. 🟨,
42', Delgadillo M. ↓, Guillermo A. ↑,
42', Villarroel N. 🟨,
45+1', Palacio D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Guillermo A. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Alvarez W. ⚽, Acuna M. (A),
52', 3 - 1, Bobadilla H. ⚽,
56', Machado C. 🟨,
59', 3 - 2, Bobadilla H. (Pen),
60', Guerra S. ↓, Johan Bocanegra ↑,
60', Rojas J. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
60', Baldomar O. ↓, Hoyos D. ↑,
60', Quiroz K. ↓, Muruchi J. M. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Corrales R. ⚽, Machado C. (A),
80', Hoyos D. 🟥,
88', Tellez M. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 4, Bobadilla H. ⚽, Machado C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nacional Potosí is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Boston River	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.04.25	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWTLL
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Blooming - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Always Ready	2:7 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	1:2
27.10.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí	2:2
14.07.24	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0
20.08.23	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1
04.04.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí	0:0
14.08.22	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0
22.08.21	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1

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