Match Info

Primera C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ramón Roque Martín (Buenos Aires)


	Justo José de Urquiza		Sportivo Barracas

	1	X	2
	2.24	2.8	3.47
	2.20	3.02	3.32	Watch
	2.2	2.84	3.43
	1.9	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.37)	2.94 ↑ (2.82)	3.51 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justo José de Urquiza
42.8%

Draw
31.1%

Sportivo Barracas
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

32.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

32.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justo José de Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sportivo Barracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Justo José de Urquiza - Sportivo Barracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Figueroa F. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 3.

Justo José Urquiza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sportivo Barracas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Justo José Urquiza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Justo José Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
29.09.25	Sportivo Barracas - Justo José de Urquiza	3:0 ✺
16.09.25	Lugano - Justo José de Urquiza	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Ituzaingó - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW
- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
29.09.25	Sportivo Barracas - Justo José de Urquiza	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Sportivo Barracas - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1 ✺
08.09.25	Centro Español - Sportivo Barracas	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Sportivo Barracas - General Lamadrid	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Estrella del Sur - Sportivo Barracas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
29.09.25	Sportivo Barracas - Justo José de Urquiza	3:0
06.07.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Sportivo Barracas	1:0
05.02.24	Sportivo Barracas - Justo José de Urquiza	0:5
04.03.18	Sportivo Barracas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:4
30.09.17	Justo José de Urquiza - Sportivo Barracas	2:2
16.05.17	Sportivo Barracas - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1
03.11.16	Justo José de Urquiza - Sportivo Barracas	1:3

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