Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	Sport TV1
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.6	Watch
	2.3	3	3.25
	2.15	2.98	3.55	Watch
	2.09	3.11	3.81	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.7
	2.2	2.98	3.61	Watch
	2.12	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	2.96 ↓ (3.18)	3.65 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
43.1%

Draw
31.4%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	44%	4%

Juve Stabia - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Juve Stabia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 5 - 50%). Südtirol (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 33. Giorgini A. 6. Bellich M. 24. Carissoni L. 10. Pierobon C. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 27. Candellone L. (C) 37. Maistro F.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 18. Tronchin S. 6. Martini J. 7. Zedadka K. 19. Pietrangeli N. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R. (C)
Substitutes
15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 76. Mannini M. 11. Piscopo K. 16. Signorini A. (G) 19. Stabile G. 45. Zuccon F.	3. Bordon F. 46. Brik D. 17. Casiraghi D. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 11. Italeng J. 8. Mallamo A. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 9. Pecorino E. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 21. Tait F.
Coaches
Abate I.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Martini J. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Maistro F. ⚽, Correia O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Tronchin S. 🟨,
57', Pietrangeli N. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
58', Zedadka K. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
66', Tronchin S. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
66', Merkaj S. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
68', Maistro F. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
68', Burnete R. 🟨,
75', Pierobon C. ↓, Baldi M. ↑,
75', Cacciamani A. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
79', Kofler R. 🟨,
87', Davi S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juve Stabia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Gabrielloni A. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mosti N. (Yellow Cards) Reale F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Maistro F. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Juve Stabia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
04.12.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLTT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
21.12.25	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	2:0
06.12.24	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1

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