Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Murata		Tre Penne

	1	X	2
	35	9.2	1.04
	23.57	13.92	1.03
	25	12.06	1.03	Watch
	41	13	1.04
	29	11.5	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	30.71 ↑ (25)	11.94 ↑ (9.94)	1.03 ↓ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Murata
3%

Draw
7.7%

Tre Penne
89.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.6%

9.1%

87.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Murata - Tre Penne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Fabbri F. ⚽, Berardi F. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Berardi F. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Badalassi I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 4, Casadio P. ⚽, Loiodice S. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 0.

Murata is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tre Penne is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Murata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tre Penne is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murata won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.03.26	San Giovanni - Murata	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Murata - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Domagnano - Murata	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Murata - San Marino Academy U22	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.03.26	Domagnano - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	San Giovanni - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Tre Penne - Murata	2:0
12.04.25	Tre Penne - Murata	2:2
18.05.24	Murata - Tre Penne	2:3 ET
21.02.24	Murata - Tre Penne	0:2
29.10.23	Tre Penne - Murata	3:0
19.02.23	Tre Penne - Murata	2:0
08.10.22	Murata - Tre Penne	1:4

Upcoming Matches