Match Info

ARGENTINA: Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday


	Juventud Unida Universitario		Independiente

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4.2	1.37
	8	4.75	1.38	Watch
	7.44	4.06	1.45
	8	4.4	1.33
	8.55	4.59	1.34	Watch
	7.8	4.5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.76 ↓ (8.05)	4.42 ↓ (4.56)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Unida Universitario
11.9%

Draw
20.9%

Independiente
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

20.1%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

18.2%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Unida Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Juventud Unida Universitario - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juventud Unida will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taborda C. (C) 4. Garro E. 2. Gomez J. 6. Ojeda G. 3. Marital J. 8. Gomez M. 5. Riera E. 7. Leon J. 11. Garro T. 9. De Hoyos D. 10. Persia M.	33. Rey R. (G) 4. Isla M. 2. Laso J. 79. Costa A. 3. Sporle A. 8. Gabriel Neves 21. Martinez D. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 17. Gonzalez L. 24. Lopez S. 32. Canelo A.
Substitutes
20. Aman Campos F. 18. Cuello B. 14. Gatica N. 13. Godoy M. A. 12. Lucero J. (G) 17. Luna S. 15. Medina J. 23. Noguera F. 21. Paredes F. 19. Perez L. 22. Salinas G. 16. Tello F.	9. Avalos G. 7. Buffarini J. 29. Fedorco J. 19. Luna A. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 30. Parmo T. 15. Perez D. 22. Ruiz J. 35. Salle S. 25. Segovia D. (G) 27. Tarzia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Canelo A. 🟨,
35', Leon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', De Hoyos D. 🟨,
57', Lopez S. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
58', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Luna A. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Canelo A. ⚽,
70', Ojeda G. 🟨,
76', Medina J. 🟨,
76', Isla M. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Luna A. ⚽,
90', Riera E. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Juventud Unida Universitario is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Independiente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.04.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Huracán Las Heras	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.04.24	Deportivo Maipú - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.04.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Ferro Gen.Pico	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWWW
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.04.24	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Banfield - Independiente	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.03.24	Independiente - Deportivo Laferrere	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.24	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWL

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