The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud de Las Piedras 36.5%
Draw 30%
Racing Montevideo 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
29.2%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
27.8%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 3.
In recent outings, Juventud has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Racing has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Juventud may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Juventud has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:18 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Juventud against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 15:7 goals (averaging 1.5:0.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
9
Racing Montevideo
9
3
3
3
9:8
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.