Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Cerro

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.20	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.40	4.40
	1.73	3.35	4.40
	1.77	3.56	5.01
	1.73	3.51	4.95
	1.74	3.50	4.90
	1.78	3.30	4.89	Watch
	1.74	3.40	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	4.75 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
53.2%

Draw
27.3%

Cerro
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 5. Morosini D. 8. Rolon K. 19. Cecchini E. 14. Roldan L. 37. Peralta R. 26. Pereiro G. 15. Cruz A. 80. Mimbacas F.	12. Irrazabal Y. (G) 22. Suarez D. 16. Guasone J. 21. Arena N. 17. Rodriguez G. 31. Amaro J. 5. Macelli A. (C) 10. Aleman B. 27. Barros C. 14. Rodriguez E. 70. Leonardo Pais
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 22. Chagas R. 12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 31. Diaz M. 10. Larregui B. 23. Mas E. 25. Mujica I. 21. Perez F.	1. Denis D. (G) 41. Forclaz E. 3. Lima A. 32. Mederos R. 8. Miranda A. 9. Morales B. 35. Nongoy P. 7. Severo A. 19. Sosa E. 20. Villar M.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Cappuccio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Aleman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Arena N. 🟨,
56', Barrandeguy F. 🟨,
59', Cruz A. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
60', Pereiro G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
70', Roldan L. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
74', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez E. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
75', Aleman B. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
83', Peralta R. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
89', Leonardo Pais ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
90', Pernicone P. 🟨,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Cerro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Cerro has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Juventud is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Juventud has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:33 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juventud against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:16 goals (averaging 2:1.6 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventud	9	3	5	1	10:6	4	14
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.58%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.09.26	Albion Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
17.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWTT
- CA Cerro
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Progreso - Cerro	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
10.09.26	Cerro - Cerrito	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.03.26	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0
31.08.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	1:0
08.03.25	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.08.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	1:1
29.05.22	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1
09.04.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	2:2
28.10.21	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1

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