Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.10
	2.38	2.95	2.9
	2.59	3.08	3.01
	2.3	3.05	3.33	Watch
	2.3	3	3.4
	2.45	3.03	3.03	Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
39.1%

Draw
30.7%

Racing Montevideo
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Strasorier S. 23. Castillo E. 18. Cayetano A. 34. Lewis K. 24. Haller R. 5. Garayalde N. 16. Acosta L. 26. Brizuela T. 7. Martinez F. (C) 19. Bentancourt R.	12. Varese F. (G) 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. (C) 29. Gonzalez F. 5. Bosca J. 34. Agustin De la Cuesta 37. Oyarzo Y. 39. Vazquez A. 9. Da Silva S. 10. Da Silva E. 81. Manzur I.
Substitutes
31. Barcelo F. 25. Campana M. (G) 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 15. Laquidain S. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 29. Olivera E. 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D.	3. Brazionis 4. Cotugno G. 30. Gadea R. 18. Habib T. 8. Loprete L. 1. Machado F. (G) 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 27. Unyicio M. 7. Varela J.
Coaches
Fossati J.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Alvarez F. 🟨,
28', Strasorier S. 🟨,
38', Manzur I. 🟨,
45+4', Bosca J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manzur I. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
58', Bosca J. ↓, Cotugno G. ↑,
58', Gonzalez F. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
60', Brizuela T. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
72', Da Silva E. ↓, Brazionis ↑,
74', Varela J. 🟨,
75', Acosta L. ↓, de Mello G. ↑,
75', Bentancourt R. ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
82', Da Silva S. 🟨,
84', Da Silva S. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Racing may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Liverpool is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:26 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.08.26	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
27.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTW
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
17.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	3:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
03.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.05.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:0
21.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0
11.10.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:2
14.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
17.08.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1
18.02.24	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:2
19.11.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:3

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