Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo (Torremolinos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.55
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.72	2.98	2.58
	2.58	2.99	2.51
	2.83	2.92	2.68	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.5
	2.72	2.84	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.86)	2.9 ↓ (2.92)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
33.4%

Draw
31.1%

Alcorcón
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

31%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2%)

Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fran Martinez (G) 15. Salguero A. 19. Amelibia J. 18. Delmonte N. 3. Garcia F. 20. Gori 6. Climent A. 21. Christian 14. Polo C. 9. Pito Camacho 7. Camacho A.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 10. Ballesteros Y. 18. Aguado T. 14. Vacas L. 17. Ouhdadi O. 11. Kopotun V. 9. Carmona M.
Substitutes
12. Ajegun Perez R. 5. Dani 25. Diao U. 16. Diaz S. 2. Edu Lopez 10. Gallego Cea F. 17. Gonzalez I. 24. Laca I. 4. Merida Palomino J. 11. Ribeiro I. 29. Roldan L. 26. Vila Y. (G)	7. Aparicio E. 35. Arcos D. 22. Blanco R. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 3. Nieto S. 6. Perez I. 5. Rai 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Pito Camacho 🟨,
59', Vacas L. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
60', Pito Camacho ↓, Ribeiro I. ↑,
60', Christian ↓, Gallego Cea F. ↑,
60', Polo C. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Camacho A. ⚽, Gonzalez I. (A),
69', Carmona M. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
69', Aguado T. ↓, Rai ↑,
76', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
76', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
77', Gori ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', Garcia F. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
90', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 10).

Recent performances by Torremolinos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcorcón is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alcorcón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Torremolinos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	CE Europa - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Teruel	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Hércules	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Algeciras - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sabadell - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTLT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.02.26	Alcorcón - Betis B	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.25	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1

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