Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal El Pozuelo (Torremolinos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.1	2.92	2.32
	2.45	2.83	3.18	Watch
	3.11	2.88	2.33
	3	2.83	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.45)	2.85 ↑ (2.83)	2.47 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
30.5%

Draw
32.2%

Sabadell
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

32.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

33.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Torremolinos's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud de Torremolinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventud de Torremolinos - Sabadell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabadell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fran Martinez (G) 22. Roldan R. 5. Dani 4. Merida Palomino J. 3. Martinez H. 7. Camacho A. 8. Penarroya C. 10. Gallego Cea F. 23. Lesedi S. A. 25. Diao U. 19. Opara L.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 7. Ripoll T. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 5. Bonaldo 14. Astals D. 23. Priego J. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 19. Lopez J. 9. Rodri 17. Coscia A.
Substitutes
12. Ajegun Perez R. 24. Alonso J. 21. Christian 6. Climent A. 13. Cuenca J. (G) 2. Edu Lopez 18. Fernandez A. 20. Gori 11. Ribeiro I.	2. Aleman C. 8. Cortes S. 27. Estebe L. 11. Martinez R. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 21. Sergi 29. Utges J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bonaldo ⚽,
17', Astals D. 🟨,
21', Merida Palomino J. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
23', Orriols Cerarols A. 🟨,
45+3', Martinez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dani ↓, Christian ↑,
46', Martinez H. ↓, Ribeiro I. ↑,
60', Diao U. ↓, Gori ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Ribeiro I. ⚽,
68', Astals D. ↓, Cortes S. ↑,
69', Coscia A. ↓, Sergi ↑,
78', Opara L. ↓, Edu Lopez ↑,
79', Gori 🟨,
84', Lopez J. ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
85', Liameed Q. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
85', Ripoll T. ↓, Aleman C. ↑,
90+2', Lesedi S. A. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent performances by Torremolinos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sabadell is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sabadell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Torremolinos has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Torrent - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Eldense - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Poblense - Sabadell	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alcorcón - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Sabadell - Teruel	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Antequera - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWTT

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