Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)


	Eldense		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.49	3.75	5.75
	1.52	3.65	6.1
	1.65	3.45	6.3
	3.48	3.22	2.10	Watch
	1.54	3.62	6.44
	1.51	3.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.53 ↑ (3.26)	5.5 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
54.3%

Draw
27.8%

Juventud de Torremolinos
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Eldense - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 21. Ruiz D. 5. Gaixas A. 4. Dumic D. 17. Clemente J. (C) 8. Bustillo M. 7. Quintana Nacho 3. Smand F. 18. Macho G. 20. Ibanez R. 10. Fidel	13. Palomo F. (G) 22. Roldan R. 5. Dani 4. Merida Palomino J. 3. Martinez H. 7. Camacho A. 21. Christian 8. Penarroya C. 10. Gallego Cea F. 11. Ribeiro I. 14. Polo C.
Substitutes
11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 9. Dioni 19. Ibarrondo A. 26. Jimenez C. 12. Molina M. 22. Nunez R. 46. Quintanilla R. 2. Serradell A. G. 13. Valencia P. (G) 23. Vallejo J.	12. Ajegun Perez R. 24. Alonso J. 6. Climent A. 25. Diao U. 16. Diaz S. 2. Edu Lopez 17. Escardo A. 1. Fran Martinez (G) 15. Hernandez J. 19. Opara L. 9. Pito Camacho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Martinez H. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Quintana Nacho ⚽,
44', Gallego Cea F. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 2, Camacho A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ibanez R. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
46', Dumic D. ↓, Dioni ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Fidel ⚽,
64', 🟨,
65', Merida Palomino J. ↓, Climent A. ↑,
65', Gallego Cea F. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
73', Martinez H. 🟨,
75', 3 - 2, Fidel ⚽,
76', Polo C. ↓, Escardo A. ↑,
76', Moreno C. ↓, Opara L. ↑,
81', 🟨,
87', Roldan R. ↓, Pito Camacho ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 3, Camacho A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Eldense is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Eldense - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Teruel - Eldense	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sabadell - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWT
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Antequera	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Real Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - CE Europa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLL

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