The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sabadell 45.3%
Draw 30%
Gimnástic de Tarragona 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
28.5%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.9%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 5. Arthur 4. Garcia C. 22. Liameed Q. 20. Urri 23. Priego J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 7. Ripoll T. 9. Rodri
1. Rebollo D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Alba D. 5. Morgado C. 22. Alvaro Garcia 10. Jardi J. 6. Prendes M. 8. Montalvo M. 19. Fuentes J. 9. Omoigui C. 11. Jimenez A.
Substitutes
2. Aleman C. 28. Ciurans O. (G) 8. Cortes S. 17. Coscia A. 27. Estebe L. 11. Martinez R. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 21. Sergi 29. Utges J. 31. Zamora A.
12. Almpanis C. 23. Baselga M. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 7. Junca D. 18. Kaptoum W. 17. Martinez P. 16. Moi 21. Pujol E. 20. Santos S. 15. Torres F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Ripoll T. 🟨,
43', Alvaro Garcia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Moi ↑,
62', Fuentes J. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
62', Omoigui C. ↓, Baselga M. ↑,
62', Rebollo D. 🟨,
70', Rodri ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
73', Jardi J. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
76', Moi 🟨,
76', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 🟨,
80', Alba D. 🟨,
81', Liameed Q. ↓, Utges J. ↑,
81', Ripoll T. ↓, Sergi ↑,
84', Prendes M. ↓, Kaptoum W. ↑,
85', Martinez P. 🟨,
90', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 1.
Sabadell is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gimnàstic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gimnàstic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sabadell could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sabadell won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).