Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Juventud de Torremolinos		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.18	2.95	3.35
	2.24	2.94	3.57
	2.16	2.97	3.46	Watch
	2.17	3.02	3.44
	2.18	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.69)	2.96 ↓ (3.25)	3.41 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
42.2%

Draw
31%

San Fernando
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

26.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Torremolinos's form might have worsened.

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud de Torremolinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventud de Torremolinos - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Davila Y. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Camacho A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Garcia D. ⚽,
72', Santana Cabrera O. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Torremolinos in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torremolinos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Torremolinos will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Almeria B - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	La Unión - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Granada B	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Linares Deportivo - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTWW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	San Fernando - Estepona	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	San Fernando - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	San Fernando - Minera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLT

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