Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia) 🌤️ ...


	UCAM Murcia		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	4.8
	1.66	3.4	4.9
	1.61	3.2	4.59
	1.65	3.44	5.28	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.05
	1.66	3.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	4.92 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
54.9%

Draw
26.8%

San Fernando
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

UCAM Murcia - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ramis Luque A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1.

UCAM Murcia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.24	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	La Unión - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	4:1 ✺
27.10.24	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWT
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.24	San Fernando - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	San Fernando - Minera	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	San Fernando - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Almeria B - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.02.22	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	2:3
04.12.21	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.05.21	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	2:0
11.04.21	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	3:1
24.11.19	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	0:0
05.05.19	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	2:1
16.12.18	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	2:0

UCAM Murcia - San Fernando