Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas		Maria da Fonte

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Juventude de Pedras Salgadas
38.6%

Draw
30.7%

Maria da Fonte
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Maria da Fonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (-3%)

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The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 2.

Pedras Salgadas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maria da Fonte is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pedras Salgadas won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventude de Pedras Salgadas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Brito - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vila Meã - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	3:2 ✺
08.01.23	Vianense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Tirsense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Amarante	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Bragança - Maria da Fonte	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Dumiense	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
18.12.22	Desportivo Monção - Maria da Fonte	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTWW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:0
01.05.22	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:3
03.04.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	0:0
08.12.21	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	2:0
17.10.21	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:1
13.02.21	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0
13.12.20	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	1:0

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte