Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KTP Kotka		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.95	6.6
	1.35	5.44	7.66
	1.36	5.31	7.18	Watch
	1.32	5.3	7.25
	1.3	5.05	7.55	Watch
	1.32	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	5.14 ↑ (5.01)	7.11 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
69.2%

Draw
17.9%

JäPS
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.6%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.6%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

KTP Kotka - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: KTP Kotka will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 3. Agyei D. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 18. Eloluoto O. 10. Forsell P. 7. Makela J. (C) 30. Puhakainen L. 22. Rangel 29. Ruohio A. 13. Tahmbi N.	36. Valtonen T. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 3. Haikonen P. 8. Heidari R. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R. (C)
Substitutes
11. Haapalainen R. 21. Hanninen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 9. Ogunkoya P. 26. Paavola M. 19. Polat R. 14. Sunday G. 20. Tulehmo A.	5. Arminen T. 17. Ketonen V. 77. Mustafa B. (G) 27. Soderlund I. 22. Taskos G. 18. Virtanen J.
Coaches
Pasoja J.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Makela J. ⚽, Eloluoto O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Agyei D. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
51', Heidari R. 🟨,
68', Ruohio A. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
69', Pallas E. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Sunday G. ⚽,
78', Haikonen P. 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Rangel ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
79', Salo J. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
82', Rangel ↓, Ogunkoya P. ↑,
82', Coker M. ↓, Polat R. ↑,
82', Heidari R. ↓, Taskos G. ↑,
87', Forsell P. ↓, Tulehmo A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3.

KTP is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, JäPS has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, KTP is the clear favorite.

We predict that KTP will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, KTP won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.09.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	JäPS - Haka	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
10.07.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	4:1
16.05.26	JäPS - KTP Kotka	0:1
13.09.24	KTP Kotka - JäPS	1:2
05.07.24	JäPS - KTP Kotka	0:0
03.05.24	KTP Kotka - JäPS	2:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.01.24	JäPS - KTP Kotka	1:1
Club Friendly
28.01.23	JäPS - KTP Kotka	2:2

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