Match Info

J2 League - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Júbilo Iwata		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.30	2.85
	2.12	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.74	3.1
	2.14	3.66	3.09	Watch
	2.14	3.7	3.05
	2.14	3.29	3.36	Watch
	2.17	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)	3.45 ↓ (3.53)	3.09 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
43.1%

Draw
26.9%

Kataller Toyama
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Niekawa A. (G) 29. Kuwabara K. 2. Danilo Cardoso 15. Yuri Lara 36. Yoshimura R. 77. Fujiwara K. 6. Kaneko D. 14. Ohara M. 23. Inui T. 31. Iago Teles 99. Victor J.	1. Hirao T. (G) 4. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 27. Kang Min-Woo 33. Takahashi Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 20. Jung Woo-Young 28. Fuseya S. 13. Ogawa K. 55. Kunitake Y. 39. Furukawa M.
Substitutes
18. Inoue S. 37. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 4. Matsubara K. 19. Nozawa L. 32. Ota R. 47. Sato D. 9. Watanabe R. 30. Yamazaki K.	7. Kameda A. 11. Kim T. 31. Koh Bong-jo (G) 8. Matsuoka D. 30. Nakashima Y. 23. Nishiya S. 34. Takenaka G. 40. Takeuchi Y. 9. Yoshihira T.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Adachi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Furukawa M. (A),
33', Tanimoto S. 🟨,
42', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
45+2', Furukawa M. 🟨,
45+2', Yoshimura R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Kang Min-Woo 🟨,
56', Furukawa M. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
56', Ogawa K. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
57', Victor J. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
60', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
64', Fukazawa S. 🟨,
65', Ohara M. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
65', Fujiwara K. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
68', Kim T. 🟨,
71', Kang Min-Woo ↓, Nishiya S. ↑,
73', Iago Teles ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
73', Kaneko D. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
83', Hirao T. 🟨,
83', Kunitake Y. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Toyama	9	5	2	2	18:9	9	17
14	Iwata	9	3	1	5	11:13	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.61%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Sagamihara - Júbilo Iwata	0:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Yokohama FC - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Blaublitz Akita - Kataller Toyama	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.08.25	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	2:0
09.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Júbilo Iwata	3:1
17.08.14	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	3:2
18.05.14	Kataller Toyama - Júbilo Iwata	0:1

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