Match Info

J2 League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Júbilo Iwata		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.65
	2.37	3.00	2.70
	2.38	3	2.85	Watch
	2.72	3.1	2.81
	2.72	3.04	2.72	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.75
	2.71	3.02	2.71	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)	2.74 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
35.6%

Draw
30.5%

Tokushima Vortis
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tokushima (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Niekawa A. (G) 29. Kuwabara K. 2. Danilo Cardoso 15. Yuri Lara 36. Yoshimura R. 77. Fujiwara K. 6. Kaneko D. 31. Iago Teles 23. Inui T. 14. Ohara M. 99. Victor J.	37. Kitamura K. C. (G) 97. Moyo M. 3. Yamada N. 15. Yamakoshi K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 6. Kanuma N. 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 7. Kodama S. 9. Thonny Anderson
Substitutes
18. Inoue S. 33. Kawai T. 37. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 4. Matsubara K. 19. Nozawa L. 32. Ota R. 39. Sumi K. 30. Yamazaki K.	17. Inami T. 8. Iwao K. 27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 29. Mitsui D. (G) 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 2. Tanaka H. 16. Watari D.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Yoshimoto T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Iago Teles ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Yamakoshi K. ⚽, Kodama S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yamakoshi K. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
54', Iago Teles ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
54', Victor J. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
66', Thonny Anderson ↓, Watari D. ↑,
66', Takagi Y. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
67', Ohara M. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
72', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
83', Fujiwara K. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
83', Kuwabara K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
89', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Ota R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 1.

Iwata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Iwata	10	4	1	5	12:13	-1	13
12	Tokushima	10	4	1	5	10:12	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tokushima Vortis - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
16.08.26	Yokohama FC - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Júbilo Iwata - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
30.05.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	4:3 penalties ✺
23.05.26	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Júbilo Iwata - Fujieda MYFC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
16.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.12.25	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
18.10.25	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	0:4
25.05.25	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
22.10.23	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	0:3
29.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:3
04.11.20	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	3:1
25.07.20	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	0:2

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