Match Info

J2 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	18:00	DAZN Japan
Usa	05:00	SportsEngine Play


	Tochigi City		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.85
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.22	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.37	3.64	2.92
	2.12	3.57	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.85
	2.28	3.45	2.94	Watch
	2.27	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.55)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
41.6%

Draw
26.9%

Júbilo Iwata
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tochigi City's performance.

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Iwata will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 5. Okui R. 2. Jonjic M. 3. Teruyama H. 15. Sato Y. 20. Pedro Augusto 7. Mori T. 24. Nishiya K. 32. Koike Y. 23. Yoshida A. 93. Nguen T.	16. Niekawa A. (G) 29. Kuwabara K. 2. Danilo Cardoso 15. Yuri Lara 36. Yoshimura R. 77. Fujiwara K. 6. Kaneko D. 14. Ohara M. 23. Inui T. 31. Iago Teles 99. Victor J.
Substitutes
17. Chinen T. 1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 88. Masukake Y. 46. Nishimura T. 13. Oshima T. 31. Simmons A.	18. Inoue S. 20. Kato D. 37. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 25. Koike N. 4. Matsubara K. 32. Ota R. 39. Sumi K. 9. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Imaya N.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Iago Teles ⚽, Victor J. (A),
5', 0 - 2, Iago Teles ⚽, Inui T. (A),
11', Okui R. 🟨,
43', 0 - 3, Victor J. ⚽, Yoshimura R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Teruyama H. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Okui R. ⚽, Nishiya K. (A),
62', Iago Teles ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
62', Victor J. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
69', Koike Y. ↓, Masukake Y. ↑,
69', Okui R. ↓, Simmons A. ↑,
76', Simmons A. 🟨,
77', Ohara M. ↓, Koike N. ↑,
77', Nguen T. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
87', Inui T. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
87', Kuwabara K. ↓, Kato D. ↑,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Iwata	14	5	4	5	16:15	1	19
18	Tochigi City	14	3	3	8	21:25	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Tochigi City	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	5:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Tochigi City - Reilac Shiga	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWWWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Yokohama FC - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Júbilo Iwata - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
30.05.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	4:3 penalties

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