Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.82	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.78
	2.2	3.07	3.46	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.88
	2.2	3.24	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.63)	3.18 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
42.4%

Draw
28.8%

Ventforet Kofu
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 30. Yamazaki K. 52. Van den Bergh J. 36. Yoshimura R. 2. Kawasaki I. 6. Kaneko D. 7. Uehara R. 39. Sumi K. 16. Gustavo Silva 11. Matheus Peixoto	1. Kawata K. (G) 2. Inoue M. 44. Fukui K. 20. Endo H. 7. Araki S. 27. Takei S. 8. Yasuda K. 19. Mizuno H. 29. Oshima K. 14. Fujii K. 32. Ota R.
Substitutes
13. Abe K. (G) 48. Aida Y. 77. Fujiwara K. 18. Inoue S. 33. Kawai T. 25. Koike N. 3. Morioka R. 27. Sato R. 9. Watanabe R.	97. Higashi J. (G) 5. Ichinose T. 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Kumakura K. 96. Kurokawa A. 13. Murakami Y. 24. Sato K. 26. Sato K. 4. Yamamoto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gustavo Silva ⚽, Kawasaki I. (A),
20', Inoue M. 🟨,
28', Sumi K. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
32', Matheus Peixoto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Gustavo Silva ↓, Aida Y. ↑,
62', Uehara R. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
71', Araki S. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
71', Oshima K. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
71', Mizuno H. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
77', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
77', Uemura H. ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
83', Fujii K. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
86', Inoue M. ↓, Sato K. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3.

Recent form of Iwata has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kofu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Ventforet Kofu - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.16%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Fujieda MYFC - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Júbilo Iwata - Fukushima United	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 J3 League
28.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Gifu - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ventforet Kofu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
15.03.25	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
19.08.23	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
28.06.23	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
09.08.21	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	2:2
13.06.21	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	1:0
21.11.20	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	1:1

Upcoming Matches