Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 8

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.98	Watch
	3.67	3.66	1.94
	3.39	3.74	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.85
	3.45	3.4	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
26.6%

Draw
26%

Omiya Ardija
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 2. Inoue M. 44. Fukui K. 20. Endo H. 7. Araki S. 27. Takei S. 8. Yasuda K. 19. Mizuno H. 29. Oshima K. 14. Fujii K. 32. Ota R.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 5. Gabriel 88. Nishio R. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 7. Kojima M. 11. Caprini 45. Yamamoto O. 14. Izumi T. 90. Sunday O.
Substitutes
25. Hiratsuka Y. 5. Ichinose T. 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Kumakura K. 96. Kurokawa A. 9. Mitsuhira K. 26. Sato K. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)	20. Hidaka H. 17. Kanda T. 8. Kaua Diniz 27. Matsui T. 34. Murakami Y. 37. Sekiguchi K. 40. Shimura K. (G) 23. Sugimoto K. 33. Wada T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ota R. ⚽, Fujii K. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Ota R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sunday O. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
60', Caprini ↓, Matsui T. ↑,
60', Izumi T. ↓, Hidaka H. ↑,
60', Motegi R. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
67', Mizuno H. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
74', Gabriel ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
79', Takei S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
80', Ota R. ↓, Hiratsuka Y. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Yamamoto O. ⚽,
89', Fujii K. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
89', Oshima K. ↓, Ichinose T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Omiya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kofu won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Omiya Ardija - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Gifu - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ventforet Kofu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fujieda MYFC - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Omiya Ardija - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Nagano Parceiro - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Omiya Ardija - Fukushima United	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0
22.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:0
29.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	0:2
27.05.23	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	5:1
10.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	0:3
09.04.22	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:3
18.09.21	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0

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