Match Info

J2 League - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	14:00	K-Ball
Japan	15:00	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.57
	2.45	3.10	2.60
	2.42	3.25	2.62	Watch
	2.57	3.51	2.74
	2.51	3.46	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.6
	2.4	3.26	2.53	Watch
	2.42	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.88)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.62 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
37.4%

Draw
27.6%

Júbilo Iwata
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iwaki's performance.

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iwaki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Júbilo Iwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Iwata will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 15. Nakano H. 35. Fukaminato S. 13. Fujii K. 30. Shota K. 22. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. (C) 10. Nishitani R. 38. Kumata N. 9. Michiwaki Y.	16. Niekawa A. (G) 15. Yuri Lara 2. Danilo Cardoso 6. Kaneko D. 29. Kuwabara K. 77. Fujiwara K. (C) 7. Uehara R. 8. Tameda H. 14. Ohara M. 47. Sato D. 32. Ota R.
Substitutes
16. Araki M. 28. Hisanaga R. 19. Jeon S. 11. Kato T. 2. Konno I. 21. Matsumoto R. (G) 40. Nagaki R. 4. Ushizawa T.	31. Iago Teles 18. Inoue S. 23. Inui T. 37. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 66. Masuda S. 11. Matheus Peixoto 4. Matsubara K. 26. Nishikubo S.
Coaches
Tasaka K.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kumata N. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
6', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
14', Fujii K. 🟨,
24', Fujiwara K. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
31', Matsubara K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tameda H. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
46', Ota R. ↓, Iago Teles ↑,
46', Sato D. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
60', Takahashi Y. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
60', Shota K. ↓, Hisanaga R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Iago Teles ⚽,
69', Kumata N. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
76', Inui T. 🟥,
83', Uehara R. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
90', Fujii K. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
90+2', Nagaki R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Iwata could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Iwaki has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Iwaki against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Iwaki	13	5	2	6	20:19	1	17
14	Iwata	13	4	4	5	14:15	-1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.11%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
21.10.26	Shonan Bellmare - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	5:0 ✺
11.10.26	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Iwaki	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
21.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale	0:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	1:2 penalties
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J2 League
10.08.25	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	3:1
17.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	2:0
29.07.23	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
21.05.23	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	1:1

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