Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Köln II		Bonner

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.8	3.55
	1.65	4.47	4.09
	1.85	3.7	3.48
	1.9	3.68	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.91 ↑ (3.82)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
51%

Draw
23.5%

Bonner
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.9%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

22.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Bonner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Köln II - Bonner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, Bird R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 3.

Köln II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bonner has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Köln II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Köln II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Köln II - Gütersloh	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Köln II	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Köln II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Bochum II - Köln II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTWWW
- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
05.10.25	Bonner - Schalke 04 II	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Bonner	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Velbert - Bonner	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
12.02.22	Bonner - Köln II	1:3
10.09.21	Köln II - Bonner	3:2
05.06.21	Bonner - Köln II	1:0
27.01.21	Köln II - Bonner	1:1
03.11.19	Bonner - Köln II	2:4
01.12.18	Bonner - Köln II	3:2
04.08.18	Köln II - Bonner	1:2

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