The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 24.2%
Draw 27.4%
Dynamo Barnaul 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
30.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
30.1%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's form might have worsened.
Dynamo Barnaul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Barnaul's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Barnaul than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Barnaul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Kurbanaliev A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Vorona N. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 2 - 1, Efremov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 2 - 2, Vorona N. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Zhitnikov I. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 8).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pobeda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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